Attribution Predicate

Home from some travel and I have received a few thousand pages of documents, which I will release in full in the coming days.

One of the focuses of our work currently is the period between August 7, 2016 — the date of the Dagon/Antonakakis attribution report — and October 7, 2016, the date of the joint attribution statement from DHS/ODNI attributing the DNC hack to Russia.

If someone has a copy of White House visitor logs for October 2016, please email me.

Our working theory is the October 7 statement relies upon the Dagon/Antonakakis report, and the later Netyksho indictment from Mueller relies on their later work.

As we have discussed, the record does not support the use of Crowdstrike materials to support attribution, largely because the government only had their conclusory reports (there were some “artifacts” shared, but the forensic data in full was not delivered until at least mid-October, if at all).

We also know President Obama approved that joint attribution statement. One other data point comes from Susan Rice’s testimony (h/t Jack):

I have been working the FOIA angle on Susan Rice, and there are indications of some connections between Susan Rice and our DARPA folks, which isn’t surprising given what we are seeing in our documents.

Today we received this email (and 1639 other pages):

So these are emails from Keromytis’ account, on a pretty important date (October 7) with references to a mysterious report, being exchanged with a contractor for the FBI.

The email chain continued:

It would appear that in September Keromytis was sending around a report. Is it (likely) the Dagon/Antonakakis attribution report on the DNC hack?

It could be.

In the coming months we expect to provide the full documentary support showing the United States government relied on the same Clinton connected cyber researchers behind the Alfa Bank allegations for attribution for the DNC hack. We expect that forensic evidence to fall apart under scrutiny. Over the next few years, we will continue to develop a record showing people knew far more than has been made public.